The
chart shown below (click on the chart to see a larger image)
illustrates annual dividend payouts for the S&P 500 Index between
1977 and 2014. As
shown, the dividends paid by the S&P 500 Index component
companies
increased from $4.67 in 1977 to about $39.44 in 2013. This is a
total increase of about 744% and an annualized increase of 5.94% in
the dividend yield. This a solid annualized increase
considering
that this time period includes several bear markets such as those during
(a) 1981-82; (b) 1990-91; (c) 2000-02; and (d) 2008-09. During the last two
bear markets, the SP 500 Index lost
more than 50% of its value.
As
shown, the annual dividend payout amounts increased very
rapidly during the late 70s-early 80s likely as a result of inflationary
pressures (during the 1970s) and strong economic growth (during the
1980s). The annual % increase in dividends was also strong between 2003
and 2007, fueled
both by strong corporate profits and the
dividend tax cut that Congress passed in 2003. The annual dividend
payout of the S&P 500 Index increased by double digits during
each of the past four years and was about 73.59% higher in 2014 than it
was in 2010.
I
continue to anticipate further % increases in the dividend rate in the coming
years. Investors were burned badly during the 2000-2002 and 2007-08 bear
markets
and currently appear to prefer dividend increases over share buybacks.
Moreover, as a result of the recent bouts of increased volatility, dividend-paying stocks are viewed favorably by investors who like receiving periodic dividend payments.
***An updated version of this chart containing data from 1977-2016 may be found in this post.
Sunday, February 01, 2015
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