Showing posts with label commodities. Show all posts
Showing posts with label commodities. Show all posts

Friday, May 04, 2007

The Melt Value of U.S. Nickel Coins Is Still Increasing

I have mentioned several times that I am collecting U.S. nickel coins and copper pre-1982 pennies because the value of the physical base metals from which they are formed (i.e., the "melt value") exceeds their respective face values. Back on December 14, 2006, I mentioned that the metal value of pre-1982 pennies was 2.0752 cents (207.52% of face value), post-1982 zinc pennies had a metal value of 1.1257 cents (112.57% of face value), and nickels had a metal value of 6.9879 cents (139.75% of face value).

The value of zinc (the primary component of post-1982 pennies) has decreased about 13% since then. However, the values of raw copper and nickel metal have risen substantially since mid-December, with copper increasing about 22% and nickel increasing almost 49%. These metals have been soaring during the U.S. commodities boom that has been going on during the past several years. The cause of this boom is most likely due to a continuing weak U.S. dollar and rising demand for raw materials from fast-growing emerging markets such as China and India.

As shown in the chart below (taken from Coinflation.com - click on the image for a larger view), the metal value of pre-1982 pennies is now 2.5237 cents (252.37% of face value), post-1982 zinc pennies have a metal value of 0.9953 cents (99.53% of face value), and nickels have a metal value of 9.7226 cents (194.45% of face value).

With the melt values of these metal substantially exceeding the face value for nickels and at about parity with face value for post-1982 pennies, the U.S. Mint is losing many millions of dollars each year by making these coins with their current compositions. As such, it is practically a guarantee that the U.S. Mint will change the base metals of these coins within the next couple years, at which point the current pennies and nickels in circulation will become collectors' items hoarded just like old silver coins were hoarded when the U.S. Mint abandoned the use of silver in its coins.

Thursday, April 20, 2006

The Silver Market Is In A Free-Fall Today

I just checked the price of silver and was shocked to see that it fell over 14% today, from $14.53 per ounce all the way down to $12.41 per ounce. Presumably, speculators are locking in gains from silver's YTD 63% gain as of yesterday. I don't know what will happen to silver in the short-term, but it would not surprise me to see its ascent continue later in 2006. The silver market kind of reminds me of the Nasdaq in the late 90s when the Nasdaq Composite Index experienced tremendous volatility and shot up in value to levels that could not be justified by the underlying fundamentals.