The
chart shown below (click on the chart to see a larger image) illustrates
annual dividend payouts for the S&P 500 Index between
1977 and 2013. As
shown, the dividends paid by the S&P 500 Index component
companies
increased from $4.67 in 1977 to about $34.99 in 2013. This is a
total increase of about 649% and an annualized increase of 5.75% in
the dividend yield. This an impressive annualized increase
considering
that this time period includes several sharp bear markets such as those during
(a) 1981-82; (b) 1990-91; (c) 2000-02; and (d) 2008-09. During the last two
bear markets, the S&P 500 Index lost
more than 50% of its value.
As
shown, the annual dividend payout amounts increased very
rapidly during the late 70s-early 80s likely as a result of inflationary
pressures (during the 1970s) and strong economic growth (during the
1980s). The annual % increase in dividends was also strong between 2003
and 2007, fueled
both by strong corporate profits and the
dividend tax cut that Congress passed in 2003. Dividend payouts,
however, plummeted
over 21% in 2008 during the 2008 bear market and financial crisis and
only recovered to hit a new all-time high in 2012. The annual dividend payout of the S&P 500 Index increased by double digits during each of the past three years and was about 53.9% higher in 2013 than it was in 2010.
I
still anticipate further % increases in the dividend rate in the coming years. Investors were burned badly during the 2000-2002 and 2007-08 bear
markets
and currently appear to prefer dividend increases over share buybacks.
However, the % increase may be smaller in future years, given the
dividend tax increases that the Obama administration pushed through
Congress in 2012.
***An updated version of this chart containing data from 1977-2016 may be found in this post.
Friday, February 21, 2014
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2 comments:
in the S&P column, how is the percentage calculated? How is the average annual return calculated?
How you calculate percentage in S&P column.
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