2015 was a mediocre year for the U.S. stock market indexes as a strong U.S. Dollar hurt earnings of multi-nationals. The entire market also wavered under the prospects of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike and China's devaluation of its currency in August. The total return of the S&P 500 Index was just 1.38%.
As I have previously mentioned, Standard
& Poor's introduced its first stock market index in 1923 and
created the
S&P 500 Index in 1957. The charts below (click on individual
charts for a larger view) show annual total returns for the S&P
500 Index (and its predecessor S&P 90 Index) between 1926 and
2015. The annualized return for the S&P 500
Index (and its predecessor S&P 90 Index) between 1926 and 2015
was about 10.02%. The 5-year annualized return through the end of 2015
was about 12.57%. The 10-year annualized return through 2015 was
about 7.30%.
According to the
Wall Street Journal, as of January 8, 2015, the P/E ratio of the S&P 500 Index based on
estimated earnings over the next 12 months is approximately 15.75. As I have previously discussed, the
average P/E ratio of the S&P 500 Index and other large caps
stocks has been around 16 based on data dating back to the 1800s,
so the S&P 500 Index appears to be slightly undervalued relative to
its historical average P/E ratio.
Friday, January 08, 2016
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)